2026-05-22T21:44:26.068Z http://ezaposleni.singidunum.ac.rs/rest/sciNaucniRezultati/oai

ezaposleni.singidunum.ac.rs/rest/sciNaucniRezultati/oai:2:4143 2016-10-20T13:48:00Z 2

Temperature-related mortality estimates after accounting for the cumulative effects of air pollution in an urban area. 2016 http://ezaposleni.singidunum.ac.rs/rest/sciNaucniRezultati/oai/record/2/4143 http://ehjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12940-016-0164-6 S. Stanišić N. Stanišić A. Stojić Background: To propose a new method for including the cumulative mid-term effects of air pollution in the 11 traditional Poisson regression model and compare the temperature-related mortality risk estimates, before and after 12 including air pollution data. 13 Results: The analysis comprised a total of 56,920 residents aged 65 years or older who died from circulatory and 14 respiratory diseases in Belgrade, Serbia, and daily mean PM10, NO 2, SO 2 and soot concentrations obtained for the 15 period 2009–2014. After accounting for the cumulative effects of air pollutants, the risk associated with cold 16 temperatures was significantly lower and the overall temperature-attributable risk decreased from 8.80 to 3.00 %. 17 Furthermore, the optimum range of temperature, within which no excess temperature-related mortality is expected 18 to occur, was very broad, between −5 and 21 °C, which differs from the previous findings that most of the 19 attributable deaths were associated with mild temperatures. 20 Conclusions: These results suggest that, in polluted areas of developing countries, most of the mortality risk, 21 previously attributed to cold temperatures, can be explained by the mid-term effects of air pollution. The results 22 also showed that the estimated relative importance of PM10 was the smallest of four examined pollutant species, 23 and thus, including PM10 data only is clearly not the most effective way to control for the effects of air pollution. article 10.1186/s12940-016-0164-6 15 73 1 11 1476-069X Environmental Health: A Global Access Science Source