2026-06-11T09:27:36.057Z http://ezaposleni.singidunum.ac.rs/rest/sciNaucniRezultati/oai

ezaposleni.singidunum.ac.rs/rest/sciNaucniRezultati/oai:1:3155 2015-06-23T11:13:28Z 1

Predicting the Lifespan of a Company: An Important Factor for Capital Reallocation 2015 http://ezaposleni.singidunum.ac.rs/rest/sciNaucniRezultati/oai/record/1/3155 V. Mizdraković Н. Станишић С. Поповчић-Аврић М. Ђенић In this paper, the authors will attempt to estimate the expected percentage of the companies that currently have credit rating and that will go bankrupt after a certain period of time. The authors applied the method of simulation, i.e. the transition matrix of a Markov chain, using the relevant information on the credit ratings of open joint-stock companies listed on the S&P 500 Index. Research results suggest that the most likely situation is that half of those companies with a CCC (C) credit rating will cease operations after only four years; that is, they will lose their credit rating and will be replaced by some other, more prosperous companies. conferenceObject 394 399 DOI: 10.15308/Synthesis-2015-394-399 Sinthesis 2015 - International Scientific Conference of IT and Business-Related Research